The Medical Argument for Reopening the Economy

By ROGER STARK  | 
Jan 27, 2021
BLOG

The COVID-19 pandemic has caused devastation locally, nationally, and internationally. It is a once-in-a-lifetime crisis that has taken the lives of over two million people worldwide. (here)

Although co-morbid factors may exist, the number of deaths and the number of hospitalizations directly related to the coronavirus are easy to track and report. Government officials have used these easy-to-obtain numbers to set policy that has closed the economy and schools over the past year.

The devastation to the economy is now well known and understood. Unemployment has skyrocketed, business closures are at an all-time high, and government entitlements, such as Medicaid and food stamps, have expanded dramatically over the past year.

What has not been easy to track are the unintentional consequences of shutting down the economy and forcing healthy people to quarantine. These numbers and trends are now starting to be reported.

There has been a rise in suicides and mental illness in general, particularly among the younger generation. (here) It is known that forcing a quarantine leads to an exacerbation of risk factors that lead to suicidal thoughts. These factors include depression, substance abuse, domestic violence, financial insecurity, and isolation.

Another unintentional consequence of the lockdown is a delay in diagnosis and treatment for other medical conditions. A survey done last fall found that 40 percent of Americans avoided or delayed seeking medical care for non-virus related medical problems. (here) Patients with diabetes and hypertension were more likely to not obtain timely care. These are two conditions that predispose to severe cardiovascular problems, the leading killer in the United States.

Cancer screening decreased by 56 percent to 85 percent in the U.S., depending on the type of cancer. (here) Although not readily apparent, a delay in cancer diagnosis is known to eventually lead to an unnecessary higher morbidity rate and mortality rate for those patients.

Although emergency room and intensive care physicians have done an incredible job of treating COVID-19 patients, other specialty physicians have experienced a dramatic decrease in their work load. Overall doctor reimbursements were down 4.5 percent in 2020, compared to 2019. (here) This reflects both a decrease in patient volume caused by the lockdown, coupled with an increase in low-paying Medicaid patients who lost their private employer-paid health insurance and went on the government entitlement.

While these unintended consequences of the COVID-19 economic lockdown are difficult to quantify, they are real and have a devastating medical impact. The Washington state economy should now be reopened, with businesses using those safety measures that have been established over the past 12 months. (here)