This column appears in today's Seattle Times and is based on our Citizens' Guide to Sound Transit, Phase 2 and a piece written for the Heritage Foundation, Reforming State Transportation Policy: Washington State's Efforts to Implement Performance-Based Policies.
Guest columnist | Sound Transit's Prop. 1 spends much, delivers little
Sound Transit's Proposition 1 would disproportionally spend large
amounts of public resources on a transit program that will serve less
than 1 percent of all trips.
By Michael Ennis
Special to The Times
ON
Nov. 4, voters in King, Pierce and Snohomish Counties will again decide
on whether to expand Sound Transit's regional mass transportation
system. The new Sound Transit proposal (ST2) would add 36 miles of
light rail, expand the Sounder commuter rail by four daily round trips
between Tacoma and Seattle and expand the Express bus system by 17
percent.
Sound Transit estimates the cost would be about $22.8 billion over the next 30 years.
The agency's officials also estimate that if ST2 passes, it will
carry only 0.4 percent of all daily trips and 2.4 percent of all daily
work trips by 2030. Sound Transit officials also show ST2 would only
reduce the region's carbon-dioxide emissions by about 1 percent.
There is no doubt mass public transportation is part of the solution
to reduce traffic congestion, especially in dense population centers.
But Sound Transit's plan would disproportionally spend large amounts of
public resources on a transit program that will serve less than 1
percent of all trips.
Public-sector spending decisions typically are based on perceived
value and whether taxpayers believe they are receiving a proportional
benefit for the money spent. In other words, the social value of $22.8
billion should be equal to its economic costs. The difficulty is
defining the social value. Is a transit system that carries less than 1
percent of all daily trips worth more or less than doing something else
with $22.8 billion?
In Sound Transit's case, there is a large space between costs and
benefits because the agency's goal is not to reduce traffic congestion
or to reduce carbon-dioxide emissions. In fact, Sound Transit's only
official objective is simply to collect taxes and build a mass-transit
system, regardless of costs or performance.
In other words, there are no performance measures or benchmarks as a
condition to Sound Transit's taxing authority. Oh sure, Sound Transit
officials do have some limitations on how taxes can be spent, but in
terms of measuring success, they are only judged on building and
operating a transit system. It doesn't matter to Sound Transit how few
people they serve or how few pounds of carbon dioxide are reduced. So
it is not surprising that Sound Transit's own analysis shows how poorly
it would perform in these areas.
Spending billions of dollars in public money on a transportation
system that has no relationship to market demand or other performances
goals is only a public construction and employment program. In fact,
supporters tout job creation as a benefit of passing the measure.
As with any public-works project, spending public money to create
jobs is not economically efficient and does not lead to a net social
benefit. Sound Transit officials would only shift $22.8 billion from
one sector of the economy to another.
In economic terms, offsetting the temporary growth in the
construction industry and the permanent expansion of government with
the losses in other sectors would not simply be a neutral shift of
resources. It is well understood that the value of money is always
worth less in the hands of government because public-sector costs are
generally higher and the spending is not based on economic forces.
Either way, while Sound Transit officials are spending $22.8 billion
in the name of transportation policy, traffic congestion will continue
to double or triple over the next 20 years.
Whether or not Sound Transit's ballot proposal passes, policymakers
should change the current system in which transportation spending is
based on other agendas and instead apply a performance-based policy
where value and effectiveness determine where spending takes place.
In business, measuring performance is a way of life. It is viewed as
an indispensable tool that shapes decisions about how resources are
distributed. In the public sector, however, performance measures are
treated as an inconvenience, because they can oppose how policymakers
want to distribute resources.
In Sound Transit's case, the agency exists only to build a
mass-transit system, regardless of objective public need, costs or
performance.
While the legislative process should have the final authority,
basing transportation decisions on anything other than measurable
outcomes inevitably leads to a fragmented collage of spending that has
no relationship to relieving traffic congestion.
Performance-based policies that tie spending to specific benchmarks,
like traffic-congestion relief, is the key to allocating transportation
resources in a strategic and efficient way. Otherwise, government
agencies such as Sound Transit will continue to propose plans that have
no relationship to the one solution citizens want most,
traffic-congestion relief.