. . . so says Speaker of the House Frank Chopp. According to the Tri-City Herald:
House Speaker Frank Chopp said Washington's projected deficit may not be as bad as it looks.
Chopp,
a Seattle Democrat, was in the Tri-Cities on Friday for a forum with
the Columbia Basin Badger Club, a local group that grills politicians
and newsmakers on political issues without taking sides.
Several
club members from the audience of about 75 asked Chopp about the state
budget, which officials estimated in November would face a $5.1 billion
shortfall in the upcoming biennium.
But Chopp said
the doom-and-gloom prophecies include estimates for $1 billion in
spending on new programs, which seems unlikely given the current
revenue picture.
"In fact, we won't do that now," he said.
Some programs -- like the idea of offering all-day kindergarten -- will have to wait until the economy turns around, he said.
Chopp
identified several ways he expects the Legislature will look at
slashing spending so it doesn't have to borrow money to balance the
budget.
Among those were cutting programs added to the budget in
recent years that aren't working, like a job search program through the
Employment Security Department that has only a 5 percent success rate.
"We're going to wipe that out," Chopp said.
Kudos to the Speaker for putting the budget discussion into context. It is also important to remember that state revenues are projected to be $855 million higher in the current budget than the last and $1.4 billion higher for the next budget.
General Fund State Revenue Growth
(Dollars in Millions)
|
Budget
|
Revenue
|
$ Increase
|
% Increase
|
|
1991-93
|
$14,862.2
|
-
|
-
|
|
1993-95
|
$16,564.6
|
$1,702.4
|
11.5%
|
|
1995-97
|
$17,637.7
|
$1,073.1
|
6.5%
|
|
1997-99
|
$19,620.1
|
$1,982.4
|
11.2%
|
|
1999-01
|
$21,262.1
|
$1,642.0
|
8.4%
|
|
2001-03
|
$21,140.7
|
<$121.4>
|
<0.6%>
|
|
2003-05
|
$23,388.5
|
$2,247.8
|
10.6%
|
|
2005-07
|
$27,772.0
|
$4,383.5
|
18.7%
|
|
2007-09
|
$28,626.6
|
$854.6
|
3%
|
|
2009-11
|
$30,070.4
|
$1,443.8
|
5%
|
Source: Washington State Economic and Revenue Forecast Council
It will be very interesting to see what the Governor proposes this Thursday when she releases her budget. Last week WPC sent the Governor our suggestions for budget reform. Here is an excerpt from our letter:
Washington Policy Center would like to offer its assistance in light of the state’s budget outlook. We appreciate your commitment to balance the 2007-09 and 2009-11 budgets without raising new taxes and fees. We share your belief that this is a unique opportunity to rethink what the government does and how it delivers vital services to the public.
Our organization stands ready to help in any way that you find useful to bring about the fundamental budget ref!
orms in which you have expressed interest . . .
To offer constructive suggestions, we have enclosed our “Do not buy list,” which we adapted from your 2009-11 Priorities of Government report, as well as a list of eight reforms that we believe will help put the state on the path toward a sustainable performance-based budget.
To read the full letter click here.